New AP/GfK poll: R 47, O 45 LV
Here's the link: click on "download topline" to see the PDF.The poll finds Obama leading Romney 46 to 45 among registered voters.Clearly this is not a great result for us. However, I would not be too...
View ArticleObama vs. Romney signage in your area
I'm interested in knowing from Kossacks their impression of how support for Obama and Romney is manifested in their particular region. One thing you'll hear the Romney folks boast of is that they think...
View ArticleImpressions in the Swing States
I'm interested in hearing some impressions/anecdotes of where things stand in the swing states (or non-swing states, for that matter). I'm a little sick of the polls and am curious as to how y'all see...
View ArticleNate Silver #'s: Movin' on Up (UPDATED WITH BRAND NEW SENATE #'s)
296.6 projected for BO in EC (was 295.5 yesterday, highest since Oct. 9) 74.6% BO electoral college win (was 73.6% yesterday, highest since Oct. 8) 50.4% projected in popular vote (was 50.3% yesterday,...
View ArticleSwing State Impressions?
I'm interested in hearing some impressions/anecdotes of where things stand in the swing states (or non-swing states, for that matter). I'm a little sick of the polls and am curious as to how y'all see...
View ArticleWhy does Chuck Todd have it in so much for Obama?
Any ideas?And, while we're at, how about Jake Tapper? Mark Halperin?
View ArticleNew OH and WI polls: O+2 and O+8
Herein lies a tale of two polls, one good and one awesome:Ohio poll: 48 O, 46 R, 2 Gary Johnson Note that this is the same pollster (U of Cincy) that had it tied at 49 O, 49 R less than a week ago....
View ArticleNew Nate Silver #'s: Obamentum!
Here ya go:299.7 electoral votes projected for Obama (highest since Oct. 8, was 299.0 yesterday)78.4% chance of winning (highest since Oct. 7, was 77.4 yesterday) 50.5% popular vote projection (highest...
View ArticleJake Tapper rant
This guy pisses me right off. He's a belligerent, self-important alpha-male type who may as well be Romney, Jr. In fact he's basically Romney at the first two debates: an entitled prick who ramrods his...
View ArticleNew CNN/ORC Colorado Poll: O 50, R 48
Here's the write-upThey're going with the "virtual tie" narrative. It's close, but really?Note that this ORC doesn't have a strong house effect according to Simon Jackman, so this is probably a good...
View ArticleNate Silver #'s: States
I'd thought I'd do a quick rundown of how all the states (and, in the cases of Maine and Nebraska, congressional districts) are looking according to Nate's model as of the latest update. Listed below...
View ArticleNew Reuters/Ipsos Nat'l, OH, VA, FL, CO LV polls
Here's the write-up.Nationally: O 46, R 46 (changed from O 47, R 46 yesterday)Ohio: O 47, R 45 (unchanged from yesterday)Virginia: O 48, R 45 (changed from O 49, R 44 yesterday)Florida: O 48, R 46...
View ArticleNate Silver Senate Update: 91.6% chance of D Majority
Poblano just ran the newest Senate numbers into his model. Here is where things stand:52.5 Dem caucus seats projected 91.6% chance of Dem caucus majorityAnd by state from most to least likely D win:...
View ArticleGREAT Nevada early voting news!
Jon Ralston (@RalstonReports), the man who knows Nevada politics the best, just tweeted the following:I am hearing Democrats had huge day in Clark County today -- gained 9,600 voters, went over 70,000...
View ArticleHeads up on crap PA poll...
So we have the latest Susquehanna poll, which has Obama and Romney tied at 47. Get ready for Chuck Todd/Jake Tapper (as well as the obvious Malkin/Redstate crowd) to start talking this up. I just...
View ArticleNew YouGov polls point to 303 Obama victory in electoral college (Updated...
Here's the write-up.Tossups: Virginia +2: O 48, R 46 Colorado +1: O 48, R 47 Iowa +1: O 48, R 47 Florida -1: O 47, R 48 North Carolina -2: O 47, R 49I'd add that we're getting enough unlikely voters to...
View ArticleNate Silver late nite update: 86.3%
We have Obama almost matching his highest point:307.2 electoral votes projected for Tuesday (was 306.4 yesterday, highest since Oct. 7) 86.3% probability of winning of Tuesday (was 85.1% yesterday,...
View ArticleFinal Reuters/Ipsos OH, CO, VA, FL polls
These are all internet polls, so take with a grain of salt. Nonetheless, things are looking alright.Ohio: O 50, R 46 (yesterday was O 48, R 44) Colorado: O 48, R 47 (yesterday was O 48, R 48) Virginia:...
View ArticleYour voting histories...
I just voted for Obama.This was just the third time I voted in a national election after 2008 and 2010, but I'm old enough to remember the two GW Bush elections and my two liberal parents being aghast...
View ArticleNEW POLL: 99.5% of Kossacks hate Grand Bargains
A new poll released this morning by Vandelay Industries confirms what we have suspected all along: 99.5% of people who frequent the liberal website Daily Kos would be really pissed off at a Grand...
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